18 points for the post-vacation period
The world economy has staged a rebound since April’s lockdown, yet the recovery is not complete, and spending in the services industry is lagging very far behind with uncertainties on…
A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy
The world economy has staged a rebound since April’s lockdown, yet the recovery is not complete, and spending in the services industry is lagging very far behind with uncertainties on…
The ECB has increased the size of the specific pandemic plan. The PEPP (Pandemic Emergency Purchase Program) which amount was 750 billion usable until December 2020 is increased to 1350…
The ECB puts itself in front of the States which will sharply increase their public deficit in order to fight the epidemic. The program will thus reduce financial fragmentation and…
The risk associated with coronavirus has provoked the state of emergency declared by the White House, forcing the Fed to collapse its intervention rate. The fiscal policy will have to…
The supply value chain is broken as a consequence of the Chinese containment. The recovery is slow and the epidemic is not over. Therefore, the global production will decrease. That’s…
Distortions on the US yield curve will force the Fed to reduce its rate at least one more time All the US rates are down, reaching unprecedented levels. Last Tuesday,…
Will the ECB follow the Federal Reserve. Will it slash its main interest rates ? The answer is a clear no. The US 10 year interest rate dropped dramatically in…
Markit, ISM, US Employment Report, German Industrial Orders, Chinese External Trade but also US 10 year rate at its lowest and central banks’ credibility Highlights Markit Surveys in the manufacturing…
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