Inversion of the US yield curve now points to lackluster projections
Investors have been keeping an eye on the US yield curve since the fall of 2018, as they wonder about a potential inversion and the effects this would have. This…
A dynamic and cyclical approach to the global economy
Investors have been keeping an eye on the US yield curve since the fall of 2018, as they wonder about a potential inversion and the effects this would have. This…
This post is available in pdf format My weekly column – January 15th The euro area economy is slowing and could even see a contraction around the end of 2018…
The horizon darkens faster than expected in the Euro zone. The German figures published this morning (January 8) suggest that the economy is heading towards recession (its GDP had already…
Recent data on the German industrial production show a rapid drop in the economic activity. The quarterly change was already at -5.5% in the third quarter (annual rate). At the…
First step the 5yr-2yr spread is now null before being negative with the Fed tightening. Then the 10yr-2yr will flatten before being negative for the same reason. This has always…
Jerome Powell said that the yield curve flattening was not a source of concern and that it wasn’t showing a risk of recession as the economy is following a strong…
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